德国经济周期转折预测——基于Markov切换的动态双因素模型
Forecasting the Turns of German Business Cycle: Dynamic Bi-factor Model with Markov Switching
【关键词】 Forecasting turning points ; Composite coincident indicator ; Composite leading indicator ; Dynamic bi-factor model ; Markov-switching Frei zugängliche Version: (econstor)http://hdl.handle.net/10419/18345 ;
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