来源类型
Project
Anticipating climate change and biospheric feedbacks within the earth system to 2200
其他名称
GREENCYCLES II
项目题名译名
预计到2200年地球系统内的气候变化和生物圈反馈
项目起始年
2010
项目截止年
2013
资助机构
EU - European Union
简介

There is a pressing need to improve our understanding of climate processes and their impacts in order to develop appropriate adaptation and mitigation measures. Increasing concentrations of anthropogenic greenhouse gases (GHGs) are known to be causing changes in global climate patterns, and will continue to do so for the foreseeable future. However, our ability to predict future climatic states is still limited for a variety of reasons.

Key among these reasons is our understanding of the coupled behaviour of the components of the Earth system that contribute to the evolution of GHG concentrations, climate responses, and the impacts of environmental change. Earth System Models (ESMs) have emerged as our most important tool with which to test our understanding and predict the coupled behaviour of the many interacting components. However, a variety of recent observations indicate that changes are occurring at faster rates than predicted, suggesting that we are underestimating the strength of feedbacks in the Earth system.

We propose a research training programme that will have as its scientific focus the evaluation, improvement, and application of a range of different ESMs. We will consider all the important anthropogenic greenhouse gases and will undertake a range of projects, broadly classed into data and model benchmarking, marine processes, terrestrial processes, high latitude feedbacks, and coupled modelling. Science projects by individual fellows will enhance links between network partners as well as considerably improve our understanding of Earth system feedbacks. A comprehensive, coordinated range of training events will be provided.

We will foster the next generation of Earth system scientists and reduce uncertainties in future Earth system behaviour, thereby greatly improving the quality of knowledge available to policy makers and significantly strengthening European science.

中文简介
迫切需要提高我们对气候过程及其影响的理解,以便制定适当的适应和缓解措施。众所周知,人类温室气体浓度的增加正在导致全球气候模式的变化,并将在可预见的未来继续如此。然而,由于各种原因,我们预测未来气候状态的能力仍然有限。
NSTL主题领域
能源、气候与环境
NSTL智库专题
气候
NSTL关键词
RD1 - Earth System Analysis
NSTL学科大类
大气科学
NSTL分类号
08
来源智库
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (Germany)
NSTL资源类型
智库项目
加工单位 processInst
入库编号
CJ20231010PO000309

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