来源类型
Project
Climate Change Impacts on Migration and Urbanization
其他名称
IMpeTUs
项目题名译名
气候变化对移民和城市化的影响
项目起始年
2018
项目截止年
2021
资助机构
Leibniz-Gemeinschaft
简介

Millions of international migrants have recently sought refuge in Europe, animating debates about the best ways to manage migration. Even more people are being displaced within their home countries every year due to natural disasters like floods and storms; and underlying these sudden events is a steady flow of people leaving their rural livelihoods behind and flocking to the cities in an ongoing trend towards urbanization. Across spatial scales, humanity is on the move. And, that much is clear, climate change plays a role in this: whether in the form of unprecedented droughts that drive people to abandon their fields (as likely happened in Syria just before the war) or through differential impacts on countries’ economies that widen the income gaps and fuel international migration. But how large are the effects of climate change - and how do they interact across spatial scales? Little to no quantitative research is available, and the numbers that have been proposed (e.g. of “environmental refugees”) are often crude estimates, and are highly contested. IMPETUS aims for a unified, quantitative modeling approach to understand the linkages between migration, urbanization, and climate change.

中文简介
数百万国际移民最近在欧洲寻求庇护,引发了关于管理移民最佳方式的辩论。由于洪水和风暴等自然灾害,每年都有更多的人在本国流离失所;在这些突发事件的背后,是源源不断的人离开农村生计,涌向城市,这是一种持续的城市化趋势。在空间尺度上,人类正在移动。而且,很明显,气候变化在这方面发挥了作用:无论是以前所未有的干旱的形式,迫使人们放弃自己的田地(就像战前叙利亚发生的那样),还是通过对各国经济的不同影响,扩大收入差距,助长国际移民。但是气候变化的影响有多大?它们在空间尺度上是如何相互作用的?几乎没有定量研究,所提出的数字(例如“环境难民”)往往是粗略的估计,而且极具争议。IMPETUS旨在采用统一的定量建模方法来理解移民、城市化和气候变化之间的联系。
NSTL主题领域
能源、气候与环境
NSTL智库专题
气候
NSTL关键词
Land Use ; Cities ; RD3 - Transformation Pathways ; Germany ; Global ; Security / Migration ; RD2 - Climate Resilience ; FutureLab - Security, Ethnic Conflicts and Migration
NSTL学科大类
大气科学
NSTL分类号
08
来源智库
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (Germany)
NSTL资源类型
智库项目
加工单位 processInst
入库编号
CJ20231010PO000505

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