来源类型
Project
Future Migration Scenarios for Europe
其他名称
FUME
项目题名译名
欧洲未来移民情景
项目起始年
2019
项目截止年
2023
资助机构
EU, H2020
简介

The local circumstances play a major role in the migration process, from the decision to migrate through the transit process
up to the settlement in the destination countries. Nearly all international migrants move to – generally the largest – cities in
destination countries, either directly, or after one or more internal moves. This is also the case across Europe, where
population growth in many cities can be largely attributed to an influx of migrants. At the same time, in countries of origin the
largest cities often function as gateways to destinations abroad. Many potential migrants in villages and small towns in origin
countries first move to these larger cities before leaving their country. Cities, therefore, both in countries of origin and
destination, are significant determinants of global migration and small-scale local knowledge on migration is necessary to
avoid misleading results associated with the limitations arising from the use of global or national patterns only. FUME will
therefore focus on understanding the patterns, motivations and modalities of migration at multiple geographical scales, from
international through regional to the local, and on imagining possible futures. FUME will determine 1) the major factors
explaining migrant movement patterns by analysing regional and local circumstances that either attract migrants or ‘push’
potential migrants to move, and 2) elaborate how possible future regional socio-demographic, economic and environmental
challenges may shape future migrant movement patterns in Europe. FUME will support appropriate planning and policymaking
by formulating integrated and coherent visions of how migration to and within Europe might evolve under different
scenarios relating to potential demographic, socio-economic, political and environmental challenges.

中文简介
当地环境在移民过程中发挥着重要作用,从决定移民到过境过程
NSTL主题领域
能源、气候与环境
NSTL智库专题
环境
NSTL关键词
Security / Migration ; FutureLab - Security, Ethnic Conflicts and Migration ; RD3 - Transformation Pathways
NSTL学科大类
环境与安全
NSTL分类号
39
来源智库
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (Germany)
NSTL资源类型
智库项目
加工单位 processInst
入库编号
CJ20231010PO000587

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