本报告分析了气候变化如何导致冲突。尽管与气候相关的冲突可能发生在世界任何地方,但本报告的重点是美国中央司令部(CENTCOM)责任区(AOR)这一过程是如何发生并继续演变的。中央司令部AOR的大部分已经在应对气候变化和环境管理实践造成的环境压力。AOR中存在许多与冲突相关的因素(如薄弱的机构和混合制度),使该地区容易受到气候相关冲突现象的影响
气候变化和环境威胁的影响对武器系统和作战支援系统的获取和维持以及货物和服务的获取具有广泛影响。美国国防部越来越多地将这些影响视为国家安全威胁,国家安全政策越来越强调减轻和适应这些威胁
气候变化将引发越来越严重和频繁的危害,如热浪、野火、干旱和洪水。反过来,这些危害导致救灾、医疗保健和保险项目等领域的支出增加。气候变化还可能通过影响生产力、工时和总劳动力,导致收入净减少。由于气候变化,这些因素的结合导致了联邦预算的巨大净损失。然而,根据用于量化气候政策成本和收益的方法,这些损失目前的代表性不足。在这份报告中,作者研究了气候变化和气候变化缓解政策对联邦预算的影响。他们建议了改进此类影响建模的方法,并概述了可用于对立法进行评分的预算模型
一些社区,如低收入或少数民族社区,受到灾害影响的比例过高,部分原因是他们可用于准备财产或生计损失或从中恢复的财政资源较少。联邦政府已经建立了几个赠款项目,如建设有弹性的基础设施和社区(BRIC)减灾赠款项目,这些项目提供资金支持灾前减灾和灾后恢复。然而,缓解和恢复资金的分配并没有公平地适用于所有社区,服务不足的社区获得的资金较少。联邦紧急事务管理局(FEMA)聘请了国土安全运营分析中心(HSOAC),这是一个由兰德公司为美国国土安全部运营的联邦资助的研发中心,帮助探索金砖四国减灾赠款计划如何解决社会公平问题。这份报告为金砖四国如何评估该项目的社会公平表现提供了初步方法。它还确定了与金砖四国赠款周期第一年(2020财年)次级申请的参与和成功相关的社区特征和自然灾害风险
封面故事描述了K-12学校如何与学生建立信任,以增加威胁报告并加强学校安全。第二个特色突出了兰德公司和Pardee RAND如何与当地部落、科学家和其他研究机构合作,在阿拉斯加锡特卡建立山体滑坡预警系统。杰西卡·韦尔本·佩奇的一篇评论探讨了如何帮助非裔美国人获得世代财富。与Ashley Woo的问答探讨了对种族和性别相关话题的限制是如何影响教师的。
On April 20, 2010, the Deepwater Horizon oil rig exploded, and oil spilled from the breached well-head for months, leading to an unprecedented environmental disaster with implications for behavioral health. Disasters are thought to affect behavioral health, and social capital is thought to ameliorate behavioral health impacts after disasters, though empirical evidence is mixed. One possible explanation for the discrepancy in findings relates to the activation of social capital in different contexts. In a disaster context, certain types of social capital may be more beneficial than others, and these relationships could differ between those directly affected by the disaster and those who are unaffected. The goal of this study is to assess the relationships between different forms of social capital (community engagement, trust, and social support) on different behavioral health indicators (depression, anxiety, and alcohol misuse) using data from the first wave of the Survey of Trauma, Resilience, and Opportunity among Neighborhoods in the Gulf (STRONG), a probabilistic household telephone survey fielded 6 years after the onset of the Deepwater Horizon oil spill (DHOS). We employ a structural equation modeling approach where multiple social capital and behavioral health variables can be included and their pathways tested in the same model, comparing the results between those who reported experiencing disruptions related to the DHOS and those who did not. Among those who experienced the DHOS, social support was negatively associated with both depression (ß = –0.085; p = 0.011) and anxiety (ß = –0.097; p = 0.003), and among those who did not experience the DHOS, social support was positively associated with alcohol misuse (ß = 0.067; p = 0.035). When controlling for the other social capital variables, social support was the only form of social capital with a significant relationship to behavioral health, and these relationships differ based on whether or not a person experienced the disaster. This suggests that social capital does not have a uniformly ameliorative relationship with behavioral health in the aftermath of disasters.
Millions of Americans woke up Wednesday morning to find out they weren't going anywhere. Around 6:30 a.m., the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) announced that its Notice to Air Missions (NOTAM) system had failed. By 9 a.m. the ground stop was lifted, but the damage was already done. Thousands of flights were It appears that the NOTAM outage was the result of a system failure, but the nation's critical infrastructure faces a range of threats—everything from Russian hackers, to weather events, to angry individuals with guns. So, the failure and subsequent air travel chaos brought on by this latest cyber failure could serve as a real-life demonstration of what might happen if risks to critical infrastructure systems are left unaddressed. It is too early to know the exact causes and consequences of the NOTAM failure, but two things are clear: It was bad, and it could have been worse.
封面故事重点介绍了学校创伤认知行为干预(CBITS)项目,该项目由兰德公司、加州大学洛杉矶分校和洛杉矶联合学区的临床医生研究人员团队开发,专为患有创伤相关情绪或行为问题的学生设计。第二个特点强调了一种调查设计方法,该方法对医疗保健提供者进行患者评估,以更好地反映患者体验。问答的主角是社会政策研究员Dionne Barnes Proby,她致力于改善劳动力发展计划以及青少年司法和寄养系统。经济学家Krishna Kumar的评论专栏描述了美国家庭的财务脆弱性,其中许多家庭靠薪水过活。Giving专栏宣布了施密特期货公司的一份慈善礼物,该礼物正在推动关于技术如何帮助世界各地流离失所者的研究。